Political Drops for reflection: What scares is Lula's neck

 

 

"It is a complex task to analyze the data of a research, and they often present internal contradictions that can lead to misunderstandings, as well as inform us about the inconsistency of those raw numbers." These concerns also apply to this latest survey by the Datafolha Institute - published today, day 1, with great fuss - that presents the former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leading in any scenario, becoming an unbeatable candidate in an eventual second round. in real motives for the rejoicing of the PTs, who celebrate these numbers in the social networks as if it were the victory of their team at heart, in a decisive classic, in the final of the championship, with the emotion of the penalties, preferably with the Wall as the archer The first frustration is that the possibility of Lula being a candidate is almost zero. The second is that the same research shows that his ability to transfer votes is not the best. The third frustration is that he is closely followed, smelling the scabbard, by a former military candidate, with the support of conservative sectors of Brazilian society, including 46% of young people who would support a new military intervention in the country . As the international weekly reported recently, this is where the danger lies, that is, the concrete possibility of not having a candidate identified with popular aspirations - a representative of the most progressive sectors of society in the 2018 presidential race - and, on the other hand, the growth of the "myth", which can increase its margin of support in the military, becoming the iron head of the expansion of the coup project started with the deposition of President Dilma Rousseff (PT), a candidate built in the wake of a platform clearly political fascist. "

(José Luiz Gomes, political scientist, in an editorial published here on the blog)